The Houston Astros head into PNC Park on June 4, 2025, looking to extend their winning streak against the struggling Pittsburgh Pirates. Houston, currently holding a 33-27 record, recently triumphed over the Pirates with a 3-0 victory in Game 1 of their series. Their momentum reflects a strong stretch, having won 7 of their last 9 games, while the Pirates have faltered, losing 3 of 4.

Tonight's matchup features Ryan Gusto taking the mound for the Astros, who brings a 3-2 record with a 4.62 ERA. Gusto's last outing was shaky, allowing 2 earned runs in just 3.2 innings. Facing him is Pittsburgh's Mike Burrows, still looking for his first win after a rough start to the season, posting an 0-1 record and an alarming 8.64 ERA after allowing 4 earned runs in his last appearance. As the teams clash, MLB betting odds favor the Astros at -140 on the moneyline with a total set at 9.0 runs.

Chandler Simpson's high-speed performance against the Astros was a stark reminder of Houston's ongoing struggles with base running. After stealing three bases, Simpson was optioned back to Triple-A as the Rays made room for Jake Mangum. The Astros had allowed a staggering 69 successful steals on 77 attempts, putting them second in the league for most allowed. With a 92% success rate against, the Astros pitchers must adapt their approach to disrupt the running game, especially against teams like the Rays that thrive on speed.

Manager Joe Espada acknowledged the challenge posed by players like Simpson, emphasizing the need for pitchers to balance their focus on the batter while being mindful of potential base-stealers. The Astros catchers, Yainer Diaz and Victor Caratini, have struggled, with Diaz posting a mere 7% caught-stealing rate. For Houston to improve, fortified strategies must be employed to mitigate opponents' speed on the bases.

This week’s overview of American League free agents focuses on evaluating key players and determining optimal bidding strategies from your fantasy budget. Among the prominent names, Jonathan Cannon has impressed with three consecutive quality starts for the White Sox, showcasing a 3.20 ERA. Meanwhile, Patrick Corbin is rebounding from past struggles with a solid 3.13 ERA as a Ranger, helping elevate his fantasy appeal. Ryan Gusto of the Astros is back in the rotation and presents a streaming option with a 3.79 ERA. Dean Kremer has finally found his footing with the Orioles, cementing his role with two strong outings.

Furthermore, Chris Paddack has shown flashes of his early career form, accumulating a 2.51 ERA in recent outings. Not to be overlooked is Yariel Rodriguez, who is positioning himself for a setup role with the Blue Jays amidst shaky performances from the current bullpen. Other potential adds include Travis d'Arnaud and Freddy Fermin, both stepping up with increased playing time due to injuries on their respective teams.

The American League free agent market is heating up as we identify key players poised to make an impact in 2025. Tyler Anderson of the Angels has started the season strong, posting a 2.87 ERA, while the Twins look to David Festa, who recently showcased a solid K:BB rate in his initial starts. J.T. Ginn of the Athletics has been an impressive strikeout artist in the minors and earned a win against the Mets. The Astros are dealing with injuries in their rotation, giving Ryan Gusto an opportunity to shine. Kyle Hendricks has found his form with the Angels, while Easton Lucas of the Blue Jays continues to build momentum with two scoreless outings.
Additionally, the Twins consider Zebby Matthews for a potential call-up, and Lance McCullers Jr. is on the path to return from injuries. Meanwhile, teams like the Red Sox are monitoring Liam Hendriks’ recovery as he transitions back into a key role in their bullpen.

Lance McCullers Jr. has not pitched for the Houston Astros in two years due to elbow surgery and setbacks, while Luis Garcia is also recovering from arm surgery. Astros management remains optimistic about their return in 2025, although their readiness for opening day is uncertain.

Garcia, who had Tommy John surgery, is considered a candidate for the rotation if healthy. McCullers, on the other hand, is showing progress but will face limitations on innings if he returns this season.